Published research

2017

Autocratic Legislatures and Expropriation
British Journal of Political Science  47(1):1-17 (with Matthew Wilson)
Replication files      Appendix

The Global Rise Personalized Politics
The Washington Quarterly  40(1): 7-19 (with Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Erica Frantz)

Are Coups Good For Democracy? A Response to Miller (2016)
Research and Politics 4(2) (with George Derpanopoulos, Erica Frantz, and Barbara Geddes)
Replication files  Appendix

2016

The New Dictators: Why Personalism Rules
Foreign Affairs Snapshot  (with Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Erica Frantz)
Foreign Affairs Best of the Web, 2016

Are Coups Good For Democracy?
Research and Politics 3(1) (with George Derpanopoulos, Erica Frantz, and Barbara Geddes)
Replication files   Appendix   Washington Post

Measuring Autocratic Regime Instability
Research and Politics 3(1) (with Daehee Bak)
Replication files      Appendix

2015

Foreign Pressure and the Politics of Autocratic Survival
Oxford University Press (with Abel Escriba-Folch)
Replication files      Google books

Remittances and Democratization
International Studies Quarterly 59(3): 571–586 (with Abel Escriba-Folch and Covadonga Mesegeur)
Replication files      Appendix    LSE Blog    Washington Post

Terrorism and the Fate of Dictators
World Politics 67(3): 423–468 (with Deniz Aksoy and David Carter)
Replication files     Appendix   Coup data case descriptions

Human Rights Prosecutions and Autocratic Survival
International Organization 69(2): 343–373  (with Abel Escriba-Folch)
Replication files     Appendix

Oil and Autocratic Regime Survival
British Journal of Political Science 45(2): 287–306 (with Erica Frantz and Barbara Geddes)
Replication files     Appendix      Washington Post

Foreign Aid Allocation Tactics and Democratic Change in Africa
Journal of Politics 77(1): 216–234  (with Simone Dietrich)
Replication files     Appendix       AidData blog

2014

Autocratic Breakdown and Regime Transitions: A New Data Set
Perspectives on Politics 12(2): 313–331 (with Barbara Geddes and Erica Frantz)
Replication files       Data set website

Military Rule
Annual Review of Political Science  17: 147–162 (with Barbara Geddes and Erica Frantz)

2013

Foreign Aid and Democratic Development in Africa   (with Simone Dietrich)
in Democratic Trajectories in Africa: Unravelling the Impact of Foreign Aid. Oxford University Press
ed. Danielle Resnick and Nicolas van de Walle 

2012

Terrorism in Dictatorships
Journal of Politics  74(3): 810–826 (with Deniz Aksoy and David Carter)
Replication files

Authoritarian Institutions and Regime Survival: Transitions to Democracy and Subsequent Authoritarian Regimes
British Journal of Political Science 42(2): 283–309 (with Abel Escriba-Folch)     Appendix

2010

Dealing with Tyranny: International Sanctions and the Survival of Authoritarian Rulers
International Studies Quarterly 54(2): 335–359  (with Abel Escriba-Folch)     Appendix

The Politics of Effective Foreign Aid
Annual Review of Political Science 13: 61–80  (with Matthew Winters)

Aid Effectiveness and the Politics of Personalism.
Comparative Political Studies 43(6): 735–762    Appendix

Exit During Crisis
Kellogg Institute for International Studies Working Paper #367

2009

How Foreign Aid Can Foster Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes
American Journal of Political Science 53(3): 552–571     Appendix

2008

Do Authoritarian Institutions Constrain? How Legislatures Affect Economic Growth and Investment
American Journal of Political Science 52(2): 322–343

Insurance or Investment? How Authoritarian Time Horizons Impact Foreign Aid Effectiveness
Comparative Political Studies 41(7): 971–1000

Political Competition and Democratic Stability in New Democracies
British Journal of Political Science 38(2): 221–245