Changes over two years.

 

 
 

 

January 2009

TODAY

% chg

Source

Avg.. Retail price/gallon gas in U.S.

$1.83

$3.104

69.6%

1

Crude oil, European Brent (barrel)

$43.48

$99.02

127.7%

2

Crude oil, West TX Inter. (barrel)

$38.74

$91.38

135.9%

2

Gold: London (per troy oz.)

$853.25

$1,369.50

60.5%

2

Corn, No.2 yellow, Central IL

$3.56

$6.33

78.1%

2

Soybeans, No. 1 yellow, IL

$9.66

$13.75

42.3%

2

Sugar, cane, raw, world, lb. Fob

$13.37

$35.39

164.7%

2

Unemployment rate, non-farm, overall

7.6%

9.4%

23.7%

3

Unemployment rate, blacks

12.6%

15.8%

25.4%

3

Number of unemployed

11,616,000

14,485,000

24.7%

3

Number of fed. Employees, ex. Military (curr = 12/10 prelim)

2,779,000

2,840,000

2.2%

3

Real median household income (2008 v 2009)

$50,112

$49,777

-0.7%

4

Number of food stamp recipients (curr = 10/10)

31,983,716

43,200,878

35.1%

5

Number of unemployment benefit recipients (curr = 12/10)

7,526,598

9,193,838

22.2%

6

Number of long-term unemployed

2,600,000

6,400,000

146.2%

3

Poverty rate, individuals (2008 v 2009)

13.2%

14.3%

8.3%

4

People in poverty in U.S. (2008 v 2009)

39,800,000

43,600,000

9.5%

4

U.S.. Rank in Economic Freedom World Rankings

5

9

n/a

10

Present Situation Index (curr = 12/10)

29.9

23.5

-21.4%

11

Failed banks (curr = 2010 + 2011 to date)

140

164

17.1%

12

U.S.. Dollar versus Japanese yen exchange rate

89.76

82.03

-8.6%

2

U.S.. Money supply, M1, in billions (curr = 12/10 prelim)

1,575.1

1,865.7

18.4%

13

U.S.. Money supply, M2, in billions (curr = 12/10 prelim)

8,310.9

8,852.3

6.5%

13

National debt, in trillions

$10..627

$14..052

32.2%

14

Just take this last item:  In the last two years we have accumulated national debt at a rate more than 27 times as fast as during the rest of our entire nation’s history..  Over 27 times as fast.  Metaphorically speaking, if you are driving in the right lane doing 65 MPH and a car rockets past you in the left lane. 27 times faster, it would be doing  1,755 MPH!
Sources:
(1) U.S. Energy Information Administration; (2) Wall Street Journal; (3) Bureau of Labor Statistics; (4) Census Bureau; (5) USDA; (6) U.S. Dept. Of Labor; (7) FHFA; (8) Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller; (9) RealtyTrac; (10) Heritage Foundation and WSJ; (11) The Conference Board; (12) FDIC; (13) Federal Reserve; (14) U.S. Treasury/
 
 

 

 

 
 
 

 

 

 

Spring Planting Delays when to begin making decisions

Del Voight – Senior Extension Agent – Penn State Extension

28, April 2011
We are experiencing probably the most difficult spring in years. As we move into May growers, that still have two weeks of manure spreading and alfalfa to harvest,  might find themselves planting much later than the  ideal planting dates for the area. Research suggests corn will begin decrease in yield after May 10 somewhere between 2-2.5 bu/day as the planting window narrows there will be some economic considerations that may be required to make rational decisions. These charts from the Agronomy Guide might come in handy.

Table 1.4-8. Estimated grain yields for various planting dates and population rates. Figures shown are most applicable to fields with less than 125 bushels per acre

Table 1.4-8. Estimated grain yields for various planting dates and population rates. Figures shown are most applicable to fields with less than 125 bushels per acre.
Planting date Plants/A at harvest
12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,500 25,000
Optimum yield (percent)
April 20 72 78 83 87 90 93 95
April 25 75 81 86 90 93 96 98
May 1 77 83 88 92 95 98 100
May 6 78 83 88 92 95 98 100
May 11 77 83 88 92 95 98 99
May 16 75 81 86 90 93 96 98
May 21 73 78 83 87 91 94 95
May 26 69 75 80 84 87 90 92
May 31 64 70 75 79 82 85 87
June 5 59 64 69 73 77 80 81
June 10 52 58 63 67 70 73 75

Table 1.4-8B. Estimated grain yields for various planting dates and population rates

Table 1.4-8B. Estimated grain yields for various planting dates and population rates. Figures shown are most applicable to corn fields with yields greater than 175 bushels per acre.
Planting date Plants/A at harvest
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,500 40,000
Optimum yield (percent)
Source: University of Illinois
April 1 54 68 78 88 95 99 99
April 10 57 70 81 91 97 100 100
April 20 58 71 81 91 97 100 99
April 30 58 70 80 89 95 97 96
May 9 55 68 77 86 91 93 91
May 19 50 63 72 80 85 86 84
May 29 44 56 65 73 77 78 75
June 8 35 47 56 63 67 67 64

This spread sheet will allow one to compare corn to soybean incomes. farmdocdaily: Planting Delays and Switching to Soybeans: A New FAST Spreadsheet

With Corn which is heat dependent growing degree days become important.  This chart details the latest planting dates based on a hybrid requiring 2600 heat units to develop. As the season progresses short season hybrids may need to be reviewed and used as necessary.

Soybeans do not lose yield at such a dramatic rate as corn however there are issues with switching. First off if any residual herbicides have been used the carryover can be an issue. Particularly for atrazine based products. ALS materials are another concern, however, there are STS varieties of soybeans that could work in that scenario.
In summary, it is too early to determine the best course of action as of today. It appears that in our area mid may returns to corn mimic soybeans however by the first week of June returns favor soybeans. More updates as this spring unfolds will be available through Extension research.

Lebanon Area Crop Considerations

Corn
  • Stage – Still in the bag only a few acres in.  At least 10 days for some folks to get manure spread.  At this point the goal is get the corn in the ground then worry about the weeds and insects.
  • Pests cutworms around. Got some calls on vegetable crops. I would expect slugs and numerous other pests to be waiting to be fed a nice crop of corn.  Again get the corn seeded and protected then worry about weeds. I see a tremendous bottle neck coming in another week with alfalfa ryelage and manure spreading with time management. Start with what makes the most money. High quality alfalfa and corn seeding before the 10th of May.  Focus on that.
  • Other –

  • Stage
    • Fields too wet to do anything at this point.  Once the field can be driven on I would plan to get it planted immediately then worry about weed control later.
  • Pest
·        Weed  – Burndown failures are evident where Gramozone is being used to kill rye, barley and wheat. The issue here is that  this product is contact therefore it needs complete coverage to be effective.  10 gpa application rates hinder the product as does waiting until the crop is too tall to cover the entire plant.  Resprays are occuring as a result.
·      Disease
·      Insect
·        Other –.   

Stage   10 inches of regrowth in many fields far behind last years growth.  There are 475 heat units that apply to alfalfa historic accumulations of 700 heat units so we behind by about two weeks.   Harvest would be ideal at 700 heat units so we need some heat soon to push this further.
Spring Seedings
·        Established Stands – 10 inches
·        Spring Seedings
o   2 inches
Pest
·        Weed
o   Add
·        Disease
·        Insect 
o   Weevils are  active I did see some sign in area fields nothing too prolific at this point.  .

When should scouting begin?

Larvae begin hatching at approximately 200 degree days in fields south of I-80, and 250 degree days in fields north of this highway. The Iowa map shows the accumulated degree days across the nine crop reporting districts. Scouting can begin after the appropriate number of degree days has accumulated in your area.

Where should you start scouting?

Begin on south-facing hillsides. Larvae will hatch here first because these areas warm up quicker than northern hillsides.

How do you scout for alfalfa weevil larvae?

Save some time by using a sweep net to quickly and easily determine if larvae have hatched in your field. If larvae are found in the net, then collect 30 stems and look for larvae in the upper leaves. When collecting stems, do not break them too hard or you will knock off larvae still on the plant. The best way to collect the most larvae is to grab the tip of the plant with one hand and break the base of the stem with the other hand, or cut it with a knife. Place stems inside a white, 5-gallon bucket and beat them against the side. Large larvae will dislodge and can be counted easily, but newly developing leaves must be pulled apart to find very small, newly hatched larvae hidden in the plant tip.

What do alfalfa weevil larvae look like?

They have a very dark head, almost black, and are pale green with a white stripe down the back. They are about 1é16 of an inch in length when they hatch and may be light yellow. After feeding for several days, they turn green. They are 5é16 inch in length when full grown.

Alfalfa weevil are small; less than 5/16-inch long.

Alfalfa weevil larvae.

Are there any other insects that look like alfalfa weevil larvae?

Yes. Larvae of the clover leaf weevil look very similar, but are larger, have a light brown head, and often have the white stripe edged with pink. Clover leaf weevil larvae usually hide around the base of the plant during the day and feed mostly in lower leaves at night. They rarely cause economic yield losses and should not be counted as part of the alfalfa weevil sample.

Clover leaf weevil larva.

When should alfalfa weevils be controlled?

If two or more larvae are found per stem, and 40 percent of the stems show any leaf feeding, the best option is to cut the hay within 5 days, if possible. This method of cultural control avoids the use of insecticides. If the crop is not mature enough to cut, then chemical control may be an option, depending on the economic thresholds.

What are the economic thresholds for chemical control?

New economic thresholds have been developed by University of Nebraska entomologists. These thresholds are for alfalfa at the early bud stage, when third- and fourth-stage larvae do 90 percent of the damage. To use the economic threshold chart, first determine the control costs in dollars per acre, then estimate the forage value in dollars per ton. Where these two values intersect (Table 1) is the average number of alfalfa weevil larvae per stem needed to justify chemical control. For example, if control cost is $10 per acre and forage value is $75 dollars per ton, then an average of 3.4 larvae per stem would be needed to justify chemical management (Table 1).

Alfalfa weevil damage in unsprayed strips.

What if the weevil count is below the economic threshold?

Resample the field in 3 to 5 days. Chemical management may be needed then, or possibly the crop may have reached a stage where it can be cut.

What chemicals are labeled for alfalfa weevils?

Several chemicals that can be used for alfalfa weevil control are shown in Table 2. Read and follow all label directions before using any insecticide.
Table 1. Economic thresholds for alfalfa weevil larvae in early bud stage alfalfa (average number of larvae per stem).

Forage value ($ per ton)
Control cost

($ per acre)

45
55
65
75
85
95
105
115
7
4.0
3.3
2.8
2.4
2.2
1.9
1.8
1.6
8
4.6
3.6
3.2
2.7
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
9
5.2
4.2
3.6
3.1
2.7
2.5
2.2
2.0
10
5.8
4.7
4.0
3.4
3.0
2.7
2.5
2.2
11
6.3
5.2
4.4
3.8
3.4
3.0
2.7
2.5
12
6.9
5.6
4.8
4.2
3.7
3.3
3.0
2.7
13
7.4
6.1
5.2
4.5
3.9
3.5
3.2
2.9

Table 2. Insecticides labeled for alfalfa weevil.

Insecticide
Rate per acre

at low and high rates

Harvest

interval

(days)

Ambush 2E
6.4-12.8 ounces
0-14
Baythroid 2E
1.6-2.8 ounces
7
Furadan 4F
0.5-2 pints
7-28
Lannate LV
3 pints
0
Lorsban 4E
1-2 pints
14-21
Penncap-M
2-3 pints
15
Pounce 3.2EC
4-8 ounces
0-14
Sevin XLR+
3 pints
7
Warrior 1T
2.56-3.84 ounces
7

o  
·        Other
o   Add
  • Stage  Growing rapidly
    • Established –  10 inch regrowth
    • New Seedings
      • 3 inches in many cases if they were able to get in to seed this spring at all.
  • Pest
·        Weed
o   Perennials are at full speed in growth. Application selection of Cimarron, Forefront, Milestone, Crossbow, 2,4-D, Stinger, Overdrive, or combinations should be made on a case by case basis with reseeding/overseeding and species in mind.   
·        Disease
o   None to report
·        Insect –  Still numerous grubs found in area fields. In hay crop it is not as big of an issue as pasture and heavily manure fields.
·        Other

Small Grains
  • Stage
    • Stage 6 or 7 in most areas with most early planted approaching stage 6.
  • Pest
o   Disease – Now is the time to get out and begin looking for disease movement. With rains septoria will begin infection.  Be sure to check for the presence on the lower leaves and not it as the season progresses then see how much it moves toward the flag leaf it it gets up to within three leaves of the flag a fungicide may prove to be economical and prevent spread to the flag leaf.
o   Insect
·        Reports of Cereal Leaf beetle showing up in areas to the south.      
o   Other

  • Stage Green Up 10inches of new growth.
    • Established – Wait until the grass has about knee high growth before grazing.  If need be flash graze quickly to keep ahead of the grass. 
    • New Seedings – 3 inches of growth
  • Pest
·        Weed
o     Again as in the hay crop selection is critical.  Forefront, Cimarron, Overdrive, Crossbow and Milestone do not have a grazing restriction for most species in the region.
·        Disease
o   Add
·        Insect
o     Got some more grub calls from Growmark. Seems to be some populations around.  I would not get excited since rains tend to decrease the effect of the grubs.

No Till and Cover Crop Field Walk

Del Voight – Penn State Extension – Crop Management
As part of a RC and D program we are offering a series of No till field walks.
Flyer:  No Till Cover Field Walks
Handouts: There will be some resources handed out for your references in the future.

It is always great to get out into the field and view these cover crops as well as get seasonal updates as to crop progress and pest progression.  We have I think a great line up for “kicking the tire”. We will start at Bruce Lights farm he uses oats traditionally as a method of holding soil and N and providing some suppression of winter annuals.But has several test mixes that he planted in small blocks to determine what might work better than his oat cover. That same day in the afternoon, Abner Stoltsfus has several cover crops planted that he uses for forage production. To name a few two varieties of Speltz, Arostook rye, clover, winter peas and many others will be viewed.  Later on we will visit No Till Advisor Randy Ziegler who has been no tilling for years and terminating cover crops later than the early spring timing.  Finally we will have a mid season update and no till field walk and Darren Grumbines a heavy soil high yield farm using No Till techniques to produce in excess of 250bu/acre corn. 

I look forward to seeing you at these events.

Alfalfa Weevils are beginning to hatch

Just checkin the  PIPE forecast.  http://pa-pipe.zedxinc.com/cgi-bin/index.cgi?  I would expect to begin getting some calls on weevils soon. 

Check the southern facing slopes first. Here with is some impartial assessments of efficacy of products and a threshold discussion I found useful.  I am sure there is an updated copy. Dr. John Tooker might have additional information.
When it comes to thresholds. Here is a nice piece from Ohio that I think speaks to the issue.

Should Insect Thresholds Be Lowered?

Entomologists hesitate to answer
May 1, 2008 12:00 PM, by Fae Holin
Given the current high hay prices, growers should scout for alfalfa insects diligently. But should they treat at lower-than-recommended economic thresholds?
“The entomologists don’t really have an answer,” says Mark Sulc, Ohio State University extension forage specialist. Sulc asked insect specialists from several states whether they’d recommend lowering insect thresholds because of hay’s higher value.
“The answer is that there is not going to be a good answer, at least not right away,” replies Kevin Steffey, University of Illinois extension entomologist.
“We were happy to go along living with the current thresholds when commodity prices were low and nobody challenged them,” says Steffey. “But now, suddenly, the commodity prices of field and forage crops have turned around dramatically and we’re being asked questions that we’re simply not prepared to answer well.
“Simplistically, if the commodity price doubles, the economic threshold is cut in half,” Steffey says. “My colleagues in research would take issue with that statement, but my rhetorical response would be: ‘What is the alternative? We aren’t going to tell people to go out and solve quadratic equations for insect numbers vs. yield’ … and, quite honestly, neither they nor we have the data.”
The data that is available was collected 30-40 years ago, when hay wasn’t considered a high-value crop, says Steffey. And anyone willing to do such laborious and time-consuming work would have a hard time getting funding for it today. Plus, the relationship between insect damage and price isn’t linear, Steffey and Sulc say.
But alfalfa weevil threshold data, while old, may still be viable, says Steffey. Alfalfa has changed little compared to corn and soybeans, which are much higher yielding than they were 10 years ago. Some entomologists have produced sliding scales adjusting alfalfa weevil and potato leafhopper thresholds based on commodity prices. But those, too, are now outdated, he adds.
Scientists also don’t want to adjust thresholds down because most of them are already on the conservative side, Sulc says. Thresholds are established to give growers time to react and make insecticide applications. Steffey adds that lowering thresholds “puts us into territory where the relationship between insect injury and yield is not known.”
“The potato leafhopper threshold is so low right now on stubble alfalfa that it is almost a no-brainer,” says Steffey. “Leafhoppers are either there or they’re not and they’re highly destructive.”
Potato leafhoppers are not generally a chronic problem most years in Oklahoma, says Phil Mulder, Oklahoma State University extension entomologist. “Populations of this insect typically overwinter in Louisiana and other southern regions. With spring wind trajectories, they get dumped into states like Nebraska and Iowa and to the east and north from there,” he adds.
Michael Rethwisch, a University of Nebraska-Lincoln extension educator, has witnessed its devastation. “I have never seen leafhoppers as thick in alfalfa as last year in the eastern third of Nebraska. But if you were in the middle third of the state, people there didn’t see them.”
Glandular-haired potato leafhopper varieties, less susceptible to hopper damage, can take thresholds higher than recommended, says Rethwisch. In Ohio, Sulc found that established stands of highly resistant varieties didn’t show economically significant and consistent yield loss until hopper populations were three times the normal threshold when 10-12 days of regrowth was present.
Rethwisch is commonly asked if it’s better to spray for leafhoppers or cut early. Cutting just forces the adults to find another field; spraying breaks the cycle. Growers have to determine if they want to endure the damage or try to stop it, he says.
He and Oklahoma’s Mulder are more concerned about alfalfa weevils. “Alfalfa weevil not only hits us with pretty heavy populations, it hits us incredibly early some years,” Mulder says. “We’d like to see growers go by a scouting method where they shake out 30 stems selected at random across a field, count larvae and use a degree-day-based model that looks at the number of degree days accumulated, the height of alfalfa and the infestation that they found in the stem sample.
“If they don’t want to scout, a rule-of-thumb threshold is one larva per stem,” he adds. But Oklahoma State makes things easier for weevil watchers. “In Ohio, natural enemies and diseases keep the weevil populations in check most years,” Sulc says. But he encourages Ohio growers to scout fields, since damaging populations do occasionally develop. “In contrast, damaging leafhopper populations are very common, especially in western Ohio,” he adds.
Rethwisch says growers need to monitor fields closely for weevils and leafhoppers. “Just because it’s alfalfa, don’t ignore it. Growers need to be on top of it. That didn’t happen last year and leafhoppers caught a lot of people unawares,” he says.

Performance of commercial insecticides for control of alfalfa weevil.
Data obtained from ESA Arthropod Management Tests: 1993-97.


Insecticide No. of
tests
Insecticide performance ratinga

Ambush 2E 3    G,G,G
Baythroid 2E 18    E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E
       
Imidan 2.5EC 7    E,E,E,E,E,E,F
Guthion 3F 2    E,G
Lorsban 4E 20    E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,G,G,G,F
    
Pounce 3.2EC 13    E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,G,G,G
Sevin XLR Plus 6    E,E,E,E,E,G
Warrior/Karate 12    E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E,E

a “E” = excellent; “G” = good; “F” = fair; “P” = poor

Fall Applied Control for Downy Brome Is it a failure?

 Downy Brome in wheat. Did herbicide do its job?
I was asked by  a custom applicator to inspect  a field for a strange grass.  I took the following pictures in the fall at the time I visited the field.  I consulted with Bill Curran and came up with the option to see what Power Flex could do to see its performance.  Jen Clark provided some product.  It was applied in Mid November.  I came back to the field in April due to a concern from the grower that is regrowing and the product did not work.  The second set of photo’s represent what I found this spring.  It will need to be sprayed for broadleaf weeds however I think there is not enough brome to warrant treatment. Since this field was fallow and the competition was great from repeat reseeding of the weed a 90% control by the product still would leave this many clumps and perhaps an application along with a residual for downy would have completely kept the field clean.






downy brome




downy brome with small hairs on stem








Fall Field shot of infestation



Within row competition from down brome

Growth of downy brome large and very small seedlings mixed together

Fall Time near road.  1 week before application of Power Flex

 

Spring Photo of new seedlings of broadleaves

Additional broadleaves but little to no downy brome.

Clean field of brome however the broadleaves will need to be controlled.

Clumps of brome can be found in a couple of spots.

Spring Shot standing is same location devoid of downy brome from fall in field.

 

 

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