Revisiting Price Gouging: A Look at a Possible Solution going Beyond Repealing Gouging Ordinances

In one of my blog posts from many weeks ago, I discussed the issue of price gouging prohibitions in areas of disaster. I analyzed and discussed how gouging is actually generally not a detrimental abuse by sellers and firms of their buyers’ situations, but rather is simply the market responding appropriately to a shortage in order to most efficiently allocate resources to those who need them the most. I discussed how allowing prices to react to market forces ensures that the existing goods in a disaster area are allocated most efficiently, helping to ease the burden of the shortage that exists. I also discussed how allowing arbitrage to take place with private sellers bringing goods into the area at a marked up price increases local supply, and thus also helps to reduce the detrimental effects of shortage in the area. If you are interested in this topic and plan to read this post, I highly recommend you revisit my previous blog post, which provides a fairly concise summary of the issue at hand. If you have more time, I recommend you read this scholarly article titled “Planning Disaster” written by Micheal Brewer, which provides an excellent, comprehensive analysis on price gouging and the laws that prevent it, as well as the unique solution that I will discuss in this blog post. This post will be explaining the merits of a system in which the federal government incentivizes state governments to repeal harmful gouging prohibitions in exchange for federal disaster relief aid. Additionally, these federal resources would be allocated to the areas in which the market price for said goods is highest, indicating areas of most need and allowing for the more efficient distribution of resources during disasters.

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An example of what can happen when price ceilings are imposed on a market. Image Source

First let me reiterate, this post will only be best understood if you at a minimum read my previous blog post. Additionally, I cannot explain this solution in this post as well as the original author can; if you are still skeptical, I highly recommend you read through Micheal Brewer’s “Planning Disaster” Article I referenced earlier. That being said, I will get into discussing this solution.

At the core of this proposal is the idea that price gouging bans passed at the state level are overall detrimental during times of disaster and only serve to exacerbate the shortages that are caused by natural disasters. However, this is only well understood among the economic community, as most politicians and their constituents find price gouging bans to be appropriate. Even if state representatives were enlightened as to the harmful nature of these laws, they would be hard pressed to do much about it, as they would likely lose support of many constituents if they voiced support for such reform. Brewer’s plan seeks to remedy this by providing for a multi functioning system of incentives to be introduced by the federal government that would make it much easier and desirable for state governments to repeal such laws. The federal government, in a move resembling a sort of fiscal federalism, would pass legislation that would prioritize relief goods to areas in which the market price for said goods is highest. This would cause state governments to have reason to repeal the shortage worsening price ceilings that were in place, since they would impede their ability to receive federal aid. Importantly this would allow state governments to act with a justification for their actions, so as not to anger their constituents. Overall, this would contribute to a reduction in shortages during times of disaster, primarily due to the ability for resources to be efficiently allocated by the market, as well as for outside sellers to bring more goods into the areas, increasing overall supply and naturally reducing prices without sacrificing efficiency.

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The other major advantage of this incentive based approach, is that it will provide a much more efficient mechanism for distributing federal emergency aid to places that need it the most. Often times during such disasters as hurricanes and tropical storms, vast areas, or even several areas, are devastated with destruction and shortage. Figuring out how to best distribute the federal aid that is available is no easy task and requires a great deal of time and effort, slowing the process of actually getting the aid to those who need it. Under this mechanism, goods would be allocated to areas in which the prices for the goods are highest, indicating the areas of greatest shortage. This would in theory be incredibly more fast and efficient than the current process of allocation. Another beneficial consequence of this plan would be that it would naturally drive down prices in disaster areas without creating shortage. Competition from the government resources that will have been added to the market will force local prices down as a response to an increase in supply caused by an additional supplier being added to the local market (the federal government. This would mean that not only would the areas that most need goods get them, but the market price for those goods in that area would be naturally reduced, without worsening shortages in the way that price ceilings do.

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A demonstration of the effect on quantity and price as a result of an increase in supply caused by an increase in the number of suppliers. Image Source

Overall this method offers an insightful and logically structured solution to the issue of price gouging laws. Unfortunately I can see very little likelihood that this would ever even be proposed before Congress. This is due largely to the public’s general condemnation of “price gouging” despite the economic community generally voicing contradictory opinions. I believe that because of this, better economic education is essential to the betterment of our nation, so that despite emotional tendencies of the public, economically logical policies may be enacted by our government. An important thing to realize is that theories like this aren’t cold and inhuman, they aren’t just numbers, rather they actually represent what would truly provide the best situation for the greatest number of people, a goal that I find to be worthy of pursuing.

 

Weapons of War: Analyzing Proposals in The Wake of A Tradgedy

Though this may not be a purely “economic” topic, it relates heavily to current politics in America and I feel that it is worth discussing. Furthermore, this post will relate somewhat to economics in that it will utilize and promote the “quantitative” style of thinking that is standard in economics, and will further touch on Hayek’s “What they imagine they can design” concept. This post will be addressing the recent attention that has been brought to the topic of gun related violence in the wake of the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School shooting, and more specifically the solutions that have been proposed. The issue of mass shootings in America as a whole is incredibly broad, and would require analysis in many different areas to holistically approach. Even to develop a supposed cure-all, multi faceted solution would be an entirely too complex task for a single blog post. Not to mention the intricacies that applying constitutional interpretation and values to the situation would create. So even though I happen to feel strongly about areas such as constitutionality, and even though I have thoughts on other aspects of this situation, I will only be analyzing a single proposed solution in this post. In a quantitative and analytical manner, I will be discussing the merits of the proposed solution of raising the minimum age to purchase a rifle (long gun) to 21 from 18 via federal legislation.

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One of the newest hot button proposals that has been tossed around Washington as of late is the idea of raising the minimum age limit required to buy a long gun from the age of 18 to the age of 21. Even Trump himself, in all of his infinite wisdom, was quoted stating that “It should all be 21” meaning that he supported raising the minimum age as a means to prevent future gun deaths. This proposal may sound quite nice, which may be why even some Republicans like Trump have stepped up to support it. But what impact would this new measure actually have on preventing deaths?

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First let’s note the reasoning that is causing this proposal to come to prominence now. The shooter who committed the Parkland shooting used an AR-15 style rifle, which is legally classified as a long gun for purchasing purposes. It also happens to be the case that under federal law, the minimum age to purchase a long gun is 18 years old. The shooter also happened to have been 19 years old, younger than 21 years of age. Consequently a wave of outcry bombarded Washington with phrases such as “Why can I (a person 18 years old) still go to a store and buy a weapon of war?” Debatable labels aside, the message got to politicians, and many supported the idea.

But what do the numbers say? Would adopting this measure actually have a meaningful impact on preventing gun deaths? Let’s start by directly addressing the issue that is of concern, mass shooters access to firearms and particularly to rifles such as the AR-15. The hope of the 21 minimum would be that shooters would have reduced access to these firearms which would in turn prevent them from committing such crimes. A New York Times article titled “How They Got Their Guns” compiled data on 19 recent mass shootings and how the firearms were sourced. Of the 19 shooters, only 3 were under the age of 21, including Nikolas Cruz, the most recent shooter. However, the other two underage shooters had more complex stories. Jaylen Fryberg, who was 15 years old, killed four students in his school cafeteria using his father’s Beretta pistol. This sets off two red flags, one being that he did not purchase this gun at all, and another being that it was a handgun, which would not be affected at all by the proposed law. The other underage shooter was Adam Lanza, age 20, who murdered several elementary school chilren in Newtown Connecticut, using his mothers rifle that he took from her. Here the proposed law would also have had no effect given that Lanza did not purchase the firearm, but rather stole it from a family member. Of the 19 shooters listed in the article, Cruz may have been the only one that would have been affected by this proposal in any way whatsoever. This seems to beg the question, “If stopping mass shootings is the political objective, is this really the most applicable way in which to do so?”

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Perhaps the more telling set of data to analyze would be firearms deaths overall, after all, isn’t the goal of this measure to reduce American gun deaths? The AR-15 and other rifles are commonly demonized by political activists, claiming that they are “killing machines” and “weapons of war” but just how deadly have rifles in general been in America by the numbers? According to the FBI Uniform Crime Report, rifles were used in the murder of 248 people in 2014, or when combined with shotguns 510 people. That sounds pretty bad, but for reference, handguns were used in the murder of 5,562 people in the same year. An additional 1,959 murders did not have a listed type of firearm, but even if all of these used long guns (unlikely based on proportion) handgun murders would still more than double those of long guns. So if handguns are really what’s being used to take so many American lives, then why doesn’t the federal government seek to raise the age to buy a handgun to 21? The answer is simple, it is because the age to purchase a handgun is already 21 years of age. Essentially, handgun murders drastically outweigh long gun murders, and the federal government has already set a 21 year minimum for the purchase of handguns. So why then, does it appear to so many that enacting a similar law with respect to long guns is the answer to solving firearms related homicide in the US? This logic is flawed for two fundamental reasons, the drastically more severe problems pertaining to gun homicides in the US are handgun murders, meaning that focusing on long guns (including the AR-15) is misguided statistically. And also that the minimum age for handguns has already been set at 21, and homicides continue to run rampant. Is it really true then, that installing the same policy for long guns really an effective plan?

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Though I could talk at length about the topic of firearms and gun control, this post simply aims to analyze a particular proposed policy, and determine if it actually could realistically contribute solving the problem that it is claimed to. Though mass shootings are emotional experiences, it is important to remember to use logic when creating policies and to see how the data supports your claims. The bottom line is, America needs policies that will actually help to reduce the loss of life that occurs each year, rather than supporting policies for their political and rhetorical attractiveness, politicians ought to look at the numbers and craft more realistic solutions to the problems at hand. That is not to say that supporters of this proposal don’t mean well, it is simply a reflection of my favorite F. A. Hayek quote, “The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.”

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