Category Archives: Strong Motions

The Third California Earthquake Rupture Forecast

Earthquake scientists have updated the earthquake rupture forecast for California, slightly changing the probabilities and for the first time explicitly including potential fault interactions. The release of the model includes a publication in BSSA, a USGS Fact Sheet and open file reports, a video overview, a GoogleEarth view of the rupture probabilities. You can read about it in recent news articles and find links to the materials at http://www.wgcep.org/UCERF3.