“White/Older/Male” voter groups may not be the ones to blame for electing Donald Trump…
“White/Older/Male” voter groups may not be the ones to blame for electing Donald Trump…

Posted by Keren Wang, 11/9/2016 at 19:00 ET

 

When comparing current election results with how groups voted back in 2012, it appears that the “White/Older/Male” voter groups may not be the ones to blame for electing Donald Trump. Current data suggest that Trump did not receive significantly higher percentage of “White/Older/Male” votes than the previous GOP candidate.

Of course it is still too early to see the finalized voting data, and early exit poll numbers are not the most accurate. However, it is always a good practice to check our political assumptions with facts on the ground. At minimum, the “White/Older/Male” voter narrative frequently cited by the media might be too easy of an explanation for the election result we’re seeing…

It might also be worthwhile to the voter turnout rates between 2016 and 2012 elections: http://cdn.bipartisanpolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/default/files/2012%20Voter%20Turnout%20Full%20Report.pdf

Sources of polling data:  [1] [2] [3]

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