Ahh, the NCAA Men’s basketball tournament. A once a year tournament that drives over millions crazy with it’s unpredictability and excitement. Every year, each person goes into each year’s tournament with confidence thinking they picked the best bracket. The first ever 100% correct bracket, when in reality their bracket gets busted in the first couple days due to a cinderella team or close upset. Yes, this is a challenge that seems impossible. And for good reason. There are 9,223,372,036,854,775,808 possible ways to fill out a bracket. That’s a one and 9 quintillion chance of getting a perfect bracket. Understandable though, people play each year in hopes of winning Warren Buffet’s One Billion Dollar Challenge.
To put that into perspective, someone has more of a chance to win the Mega Millions lottery two times in a row buying one ticket both times. Having a perfect bracket is like flipping a coin and having it land on heads 63 times in a row. Jeez.
Now it is more possible to have a perfect first round. Even though it’s not a perfect bracket, a perfect first round is nothing to scoff at. In fact, someone has a 1-17,000 chance of picking a perfect first round. Now a 16th seed has never beaten a number 1 seed, so you really only have to worry about picking 28 games correctly early on. The person who has made it the farthest into the tournament with a perfect bracket is autistic teen Alex Herrman in Glenview, Illinois. He picked correctly the first 2 rounds of the 2010 NCAA March Madness Tournament. Having a perfect bracket through the first two rounds has a 1 and 13,460,000 chance of happening. After finding out the probabilities and possibilities of having a perfect bracket makes me think anyone who actually thinks they have a perfect bracket is just down right stupid.