Passion Blog #7 – Ranking Next Year’s Recruiting Classes

With the NCAA championships starting tomorrow and the fact that I already made my predictions last week, there isn’t much left to write about for this season. As a result, for my last passion blog of the year, I want to give my team power rankings of the 2023 recruited class or next year’s rising freshman. In a sport that has a relatively small roster size, only 12-20 gymnasts per team, recruiting is an essential element to maintaining a successful program. In navigating a fine balance between bringing in gymnasts for development and their long term potential in addition to their immediate contributions, coaches must approach the recruiting process like advanced chess players. They have to identify their team weaknesses, strengths, and then make choices based on their best assumptions and vision for the team that may not come to fruition until many years later.

Additionally, coaches are constrained by budget limitations that are much tighter than in more revenue-rich collegiate sports like football, basketball, and hockey. Most teams have, at most, the equivalent of around 6 full athletic scholarships to be split throughout the roster in addition to opportunities for earning financial aid, grants, and academic scholarships. This is extremely different than a sport like football where large teams like Penn State have nearly 100 players on full scholarship in addition to team NIL deals that enrich the financial incentive to be on the team here. Consequently, coaches must carefully consider what gymnasts are worth investing scholarship money into and contemplate competition from other schools that may be able to offer more money. All in all, the the process of recruiting is extremely complicated and I do not envy the position of the coaches responsible for it in the slightest. When it’s all said and done, most athletes commit for reasons that are entirely out of their control such as their view of the team culture, their academic hopes, family connections, proximity to home, and subjective opinion of the university. With that being said, here are the top 5 teams that I believe got the best recruiting class of rising freshman for the 2023-2024 NCAA season:

 

#1: Nebraska

I think that most people in the college gymnastics community would agree with me as having Nebraska as the clear pick for best recruiting class of the year. When I was scrolling through Instagram in October and the best high school seniors were announcing their verbal commitments, I could not believe how many of them were to Nebraska. Their class is deep with stars such as multiple-time junior national champion Alex Nitache, junior world team member Max Odden, and current national team member Cole Partridge. Two of their other commits, Chase Mondi and Anthony Koppie, are extremely talented and will certainly be highly contributing collegiate gymnasts, even if they don’t have the accolades of the former ones mentioned. As competitive as the Big Ten is, look out for Nebraska as a front-runner next year to take on the top teams if they can actualize this talent come season.

#2: Illinois

As a team that did fairly well this year despite not having the strongest freshman class, Illinois will be looking to really make a run next year with the class they brought in. Their class features a lot of gymnasts that I grew up competing with in Florida like Alex Tapanes, Dylan Shepperd, and Garret Schooley. They also brought in two incredible pommel-horse specialists, Brandon Dang and Preston Ngai, to a program that is iconic for pommel horse guys. Illinois has easily one of the best pommel horse lineups in the nation and will need to replace the current Big Ten champion and Senior National Team Member, Ian Skirkey.

#3: Stanford

With the current talent that Stanford has, they wouldn’t have to recruit anyone and would still dominate the NCAA next year. That being said, the cardinals still have a very talented class that will look to make big contributions once some of their top guys graduate over the next few years. Their class is led by junior world team members David Shamah and Zach Green, both of whom are world class in the junior field on parallel bars and high bar. Fortunately, Stanford’s insane depth will probably allow these freshman a good chance to compete at the earlier meets next year to get them acclimated to the college environment and ready for bigger competitions down the road.

#4: Penn State

One great thing about our recruiting scene for next year is that we only lose one senior while bringing in four really talented guys that have potential for an immediate impact on our team. Our top recruit, Akseli, is from Finland and has incredible experience in international competition. One of his stronger events is floor which will fit really well into our lineup as this has been one of our consistently weakest events this year. In addition to Akseli, our other three recruits are really solid all-arounders that will give us some much needed depth that we lacked this year.

#5: Michigan

With Michigan going all out in recruiting last year with two of the best freshman in the country, Fred Richard and Landen Blixt, their class this year is certainly not as flashy but still very strong. With the number of all-arounders that they already have on the team, they went for the strategy of picking a lot of event specialists that are a the top of their class on a single apparatus. Consequently, while Michigan may have not gotten any huge names, their class blends very well into their current team structure and could enhance their team score tremendously.

 

Passion Blog #6 – Review of B1G Championships and Preview of NCAA’s

My first experience competing in the B1G championships last week was absolutely amazing. I can without question say that I have never been to a competition that was more exciting and contained more energy! While the final result may not have been exactly what we wanted, we just got edged out by Michigan for a 2nd place finish, our performance was undoubtedly the best it has been this whole year. With only one fall and our team’s highest score  in multiple years, we could not have expected much more. Almost every other team at this year’s championship had a near perfect meet as well, making it by far one of the most highest scoring championships in recent years. For example, Ohio State’s 5th place finish this year with a score of 405 would have comfortably given them a 2nd place finish in last year’s championship. That being said, here were the top 5 team scores for last Friday’s meet from Columbus:

#1 – Michigan (Score: 412.400)

#2 – Penn State (Score: 410.700)

#3 – Nebraska (Score: 410.500)

#4 – Illinois (Score: 409.400)

#5 – Ohio State (Score: 405.500)

By incredible coincidence, these are almost exactly the final standings that I predicted in my passion blog last week except for Michigan and Penn State switched at #1 and #2. However, Michigan fully earned their win last week with an incredible team performance that was led by their freshman Fred Richard. Fred won the individual all-around and high bar gold medal at the championships in addition to being named the B1G Freshman of the year. His all-around score of 85.950 not only makes him a frontrunner to win at the NCAA championships next week, but easily makes him competitive on the world stage to win a medal at the World Championships in 2023 or in an Olympic final in Paris 2024. Michigan excelled at this meet on High Bar, Floor, and Vault where they had either the highest or second highest team score. Nebraska, Illinois, and Ohio State all had very solid performances as well, with little to no major errors, but their difficulty scores were simply not high enough to compete with Michigan.

With the B1G championships over, there is now only one competition left in the season: the NCAA championships. The NCAA championships will be hosted at Penn State and begin exactly 8 days from today in Rec Hall. The format will be a two-day competition with twelve pre-qualified teams competing within two different sessions on Friday, and then the top three teams from each session advancing to the team finals on Saturday. Just as I did for last week’s blog, I will make my prediction as to who I believe will advance from each session to the final day and what the final standings will be. Here are my predictions for the first session of competition on Friday which will feature Stanford, Nebraska, Illinois, Navy, Army, and Air Force:

1. Stanford (advancing) – Stanford winning this session is any easy pick given their team average is well over 10 points higher than any other team and they are the clear favorite to win the championship. Even though they may be resting some guys on the first day, I still expect them to comfortably win this session.

2. Nebraska (advancing) – With a very solid B1G championship that showed they are right with the best, its hard not to see Nebraska advancing.

3. Illinois (advancing) – While they may not have the most difficulty, Illinois has been incredibly consistent all year and are a clear favorite over the other teams in the session without something going horribly wrong.

4. Navy (not advancing) – While Navy has been very close to making the final in past years, I just don’t see it happening this year. They have struggled a bit this season from losing their senior class and I think the gap between them and Illinois is too big.

5. Air Force (not advancing) – Air Force has actually had a relatively good year this year but they are just too inconsistent to beat other top teams.

6. Army (not advancing) – Army has also had a relatively strong year but is too far behind in terms of difficulty to really have a chance.

With the first session out of the way in the afternoon, the evening session will feature Oklahoma, Michigan, Penn State, Cal Berkeley, Springfield, and Ohio State. Here are my predictions:

1. Oklahoma (advancing) – With a weak conference championship, expect Oklahoma to be hungry for redemption at NCAA. I see them coming out of the gate with a strong performance on night one.

2. Michigan (advancing) – Michigan looks very good heading into these championships but I think they will rest some guys one night one to put up a strong performance on finals night.

3. Penn State (advancing) – While I think we have the potential to beat both Oklahoma and Michigan, we will also rest some people on day one so we can have our better performance on final’s night.

4. Ohio State (not advancing) – Though they could advance with some mistakes from other teams, Ohio has had a pretty rough year and they certainly aren’t a favorite in this very competitive session.

5. California Berkley (not advancing) – Cal has also looked solid this year, but they unfortunately lack the talent to compete with the top teams.

6. Springfield (not advancing) – As a division III school it is amazing that Springfield qualified to the championships in itself! However, it is hard to see them moving onto finals night.

Given that my predictions are correct, the final day of competition on Saturday would be between Stanford, Oklahoma, Michigan, Penn State, Illinois, and Nebraska. It will certainly be an amazing night of competition that accentuates the hard work and preparation that each team has put into the season for peak for that night. Here are my predicted final standings for the team final:

#1 Stanford 

#2 Michigan 

#3 Penn State

#4 Oklahoma

#5 Nebraska

#6 Illinois

If you are able to make it out to Rec Hall next Saturday, I promise that you won’t be disappointed. It will also should be televised somewhere although I am not exactly sure of the coverage yet.