The Oscars Preview and Predictions-Spring Blog #3

Awards Season is here and The Academy Awards aka The Oscars will be aired on Sunday March 12 at 8:00pm on ABC. This jewel award show, hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, will bring Hollywood’s biggest stars together to celebrate their achievements and skills through film. Following the infamous slap by Will Smith last year and limited capacity shows due to the pandemic, the 2023 show hopes to bring normalcy back to these prestigious awards. I will not be giving a total list of nominees, that can be found here, but I will give some thoughts and predictions.

Oscars 2023: Academy announces key dates for 95th Academy Awards | The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight

Starting right off with the big category, let’s talk about the Best Lead Actor category, with a very stacked group of nominees. I do think that Austin Butler gave a fantastic performance in Elvis and may be able to get the trophy, but the buzz of Brendan Fraser in The Whale has me leaning toward him ending up on top in the end.

Now to Best Actress in a Leading Role, this is a rather competitive category mainly between Cate Blanchett for Tár, Michelle Williams for The Fabelmans, and Michelle Yeoh for Everything Everywhere all at Once. I have heard fantastic things about Blanchett and Williams in their respective films, but I do genuinely believe and hope that Michelle Yeoh will take this award as her performance in “Everything” is simply phenomenal.

For Best Actor in a Supporting Role, there is some competition from actors Brendan Gleeson and Barry Keoghan from The Banshees of Inisherin, but again I definitely see a winner from “Everything” with Ke Huy Quan’s performance. I loved “Banshees” very much as a film, but I found Quan’s performance so strong and eloquent. He is such a kind man with a heartbreaking backstory, so seeing him accept that award would be so fulfilling.

When it comes to Best Supporting Actress, I find this to perhaps be the most “mixed bag” of the acting categories. The nominees include Angela Bassett from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Jamie Lee Curtis and Stephanie Hsu from “Everything”, Kerry Condon from “Banshees”, and Hong Chau from The Whale. While I did enjoy Curtis and Hsu’s performances, I am really betting on Angela Bassett walking away with this trophy. Her nomination is monumental as she is the first actor for a Marvel film ever to be nominated. She gave such an exquisite performance in the second Black Panther film, especially considering her on and off-screen grieving process of Chadwick Boseman.

In terms of some of the other categories, I believe Guillermo De Toro’s Pinocchio will be the winner in the Best Animated Feature category. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever‘s Ruth Carter will take home Best Costume Design. Best directing could go to  either  The Fabelmans, “Banshees” or “Everything”. “Everything” will likely take best editing, as that is the film’s strong suit. Original Screen Play will likely go to “Banshees” as that story is so strong. Visual Effects is a tough category, but I am predicting that the winner will be Top Gun: Maverick simply due to the nature of the film. Finally, I am predicting that Best Production Design goes to Avatar: the Way of Water. 

Now for the big category: Best Picture. This category has the following nominees:

Oscars 2023: How to watch the 10 best picture nominees - Good Morning America

All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, and Women Talking. 

There are some really heavy hitters this year, especially when thinking about the reemergence of movie theaters since the beginning of the pandemic. I struggle with who will take home the gold statue at this year’s show, but I do think that the winner will be Everything Everywhere All at Once, simply due to its powerful story and great acting. In addition, I think the fact that this film took real risks gives it the lead in this category and ultimate win.

For the first time in many years, I am genuinely looking forward to watching The 2023 Oscars. There are so many fantastic films up for contention, but I’m just mainly hoping the show can avoid an infamous slap.

 

References

  • https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2023
  • https://www.goodmorningamerica.com/culture/story/how-watch-oscar-2023-best-picture-movies-96662948

Will Robots be taking over our Jobs?-It’s Complicated

Since I was young, there has been a looming fear that technology would be taking over jobs. This subject is one that I even remember being alluded to in television TV shows, with the titular characters of Nickelodeon show Sam and Cat often going to a restaurant with robot serving staff. With the emergence of electronic ordering stations at fast food eateries and ChatGPT, there has been a new question of technology taking jobs from us. Of course, the recent pandemic added to this by necessarily expediting many of the technological investments by companies as places started to open up again. But, how big of a threat are robots to take over our jobs? Well, it’s complicated.

Of the jobs that could be taken over by AI, they are mostly white collar, middle-high level jobs as opposed to more skill-based blue collar jobs. Certain tech jobs are on the chopping block simply due to their nature, along with marketing/advertising positions also threatened as algorithms overtake the traditional targeted ad methods. Interestingly enough, according to Business Insider authors Mok and Zinkula, law jobs are already being taken over by AI technology which greatly shortens the brief information taking process. In addition, many jobs in the financial sector like accountants, stock traders, and financial analysts are being replaced by technological systems as they become more advanced/accurate. And as I mentioned in the last article, Customer Service jobs are quickly being replaced by AI systems like akin to ChatGPT. Of course, there is no denying that these job losses are real concerns, but perhaps there is a big silver lining in the midst of the AI threat: the jobs this new technology already has and will create.

Business Insider’s Paris Marx stresses that many of the concerns about robots, AI, and technology taking over jobs come from missing context. A 2014 analysis showed that AI could wipe 47% of jobs by 2034, but nearly a decade later those job cuts are not widely seen, especially in the ways predicted. In a more recent study from 2020, research has shown that while these new technologies will cut about 85 million jobs by 2025, it will also create 97 million new jobs. The important context of the matter is that behind the curtain of all this technological change, there are tons of people making it all work. A big space right now, the electric self-driving car industry, threatened to take the jobs of drivers yet it created millions of jobs in the tech sector to monitor this new technology. Parx also notes that many of the technological investments  by businesses are actually meant to be used as an enhancement/compliment to the jobs of many, not a replacement.

AI’s usage is often credited as efficiency in businesses and while that may be true, there is also a reality that these systems often act as a necessary middle man in many situations. As we saw with record low unemployment emerging out of the pandemic, many public places were understaffed and AI technology was used to fill an emerging gap. From a customer standpoint, for many who are savvy with technology many of these technologies like electronic order systems gave a well-appreciated convenience along with the ability to limit contact with others during the height of the pandemic. Parx stresses that AI is meant to help employees and customers, as technology has done since the beginning of time. This new advancement in technology is aimed at empowerment and liberation for employees and customers in order to save us time and increase productivity.

This technology undoubtedly also has many capabilities which are revolutionary. Readwrite.com author Daniel Williams writes that as those in the Baby Boomer generation retire earlier, there is a need by companies to figure out how to best take advantage of this new AI technology in order to replace many of the skills that have left the labor force. Things like drywall installation, plumbing, painting, and electrical work can be done faster, on a larger scale, and more precisely than traditional labor in this space in certain instances. As mentioned before, this technology is not meant to replace these positions but simply enhance them. AI technology is becoming more creative and precise, which can fill a large gap being created as less people attend trade schooling. In his opinion, AI is in no way meant to directly replace human labor.

But, as this technology enhances jobs all throughout the labor force, a new question that has emerged: Will this technology increase the wealth gap? As I mentioned earlier, AI and like technology has created many new, high paying jobs in the tech industry, with 97 million new jobs created by 2025. The Guardian author Steven Greenhouse points out that while fears about AI taking over are likely overblown, there is a real threat that this technology could increase the wealth gap. McKinley global has estimated that 1/4 of workers will see AI incorporated in some aspect of their job. Greenhouse mentions that 50-60% of companies have AI projects in the works which aim to take over many aspects of the higher middle class. While blue collar jobs are not as threatened, white collar jobs may see cuts simply due to these AI enhancements. This will lead to a big gap between those in the high-paying tech sphere & above and those in lower-class skill-based positions. In addition, the jobs that are left are likely to become very commodified as AI enhances jobs.

I think the main thing that could be taken away from this AI threat is the realization that this is simply technological progression. Since our world’s beginning, people’s jobs have changed, merged, and adapted as technology has progressed to make life easier and innovation possible. There is definitely excitement when it comes to this space as I think recently there has been a new understanding that AI technology could send us down a million different paths, instead of what was originally thought of as the inevitable, scary one. AI, robots, machinery, and the like have so many possibilities to change society and our jobs as we know them. Will that happen?-it’s complicated.

References

Greenhouse, Steve. “US Experts Warn AI Likely to Kill off Jobs – and Widen Wealth Inequality.” The Guardian, Guardian News and Media, 8 Feb. 2023, https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/feb/08/ai-chatgpt-jobs-economy-inequality.

Marx, Paris. “Artificial Intelligence’s Dirty Secret.” Business Insider, Business Insider, 12 Feb. 2023, https://www.businessinsider.com/chatgpt-ai-will-not-take-jobs-create-future-work-opportunities-2023-2.

Mok, Aaron, and Jacob Zinkula. “Chatgpt May Be Coming for Our Jobs. Here Are the 10 Roles That AI Is Most Likely to Replace.” Business Insider, Business Insider, 2 Feb. 2023, https://www.businessinsider.com/chatgpt-jobs-at-risk-replacement-artificial-intelligence-ai-labor-trends-2023-02.

Williams, Daniel. “The Impact of AI as Companies Address the Skilled Labor Shortage.” ReadWrite, 6 Feb. 2023, https://readwrite.com/the-impact-of-ai-as-companies-address-the-skilled-labor-shortage/.

Star Wars Binge Breakdown-Spring Blog #2

Last week, I unfortunately found myself riddled with a virus at home with boredom being the only thing on my mind. Since I would be home for a bit, I decided to do something I’ve always wanted to do: watch all of the Star Wars films. After consulting with Google, I decided it was best to watch the mains films in the order that they were released and then watch the extras. 11 films later, I am here to give my thoughts. I will try not to spoil anything but apologize in advance if I do; here we go-

Film 1: Episode IV-A New Hope (1977)

I find it so interesting that George Lucas decided to go start with the 4th story because he had confidence that it would be the most popular. I am ashamed to say I had not watched A New Hope before this binge. This first film is pretty good and has many nostalgic, classic elements that I think many fans greatly enjoy. I will say I feel like the core set of characters still hadn’t found their perfect chemistry yet, but the fact that this level of film was made in 1977 is quite amazing and should be considered a technological feat. It’s iconic, what more is there to say. 4/5 stars.

 

 

Film 2: Episode V-The Empire Strikes Back (1980)

For the second installment of the series, I thoroughly enjoyed this film. Mark Hamill as Luke being taught the ways by Yoda is just so clever, insightful, and fun. Unlike the first, I think that this film has really good chemistry now built around the main characters which adds to the feeling of the film. I like how it starts bringing some lure into the franchise and open up the worlds of Star Wars. 4/5 stars.

 

 

Film 3: Episode VI-The Return of the Jedi (1983)

The final film of the first released trilogy is very well done and perfectly builds upon everything that has happened so far in the first 2 films. Relationships deepen and the passion for the Resistance becomes much clearer. This movie feels like it has a fun purpose and an understanding that it could very well have been the last Star Wars movie ever, so it makes a strong mark. Jabba the hut is such a unique add. In addition, I love the Ewoks. If the Ewoks have no fans, I am dead. 4/5 stars.

 

 

Film 4: Episode I-The Phantom Menace (1999)

Well renowned as the worst Star Wars film, I have to give my thoughts: it is not a very good film. The Phantom Menace takes the audience to the early childhood of Anakin Skywalker. While it does build some necessary foundations, it is so hard to watch. I typically gage my engagement of a movie in how often I pull out my phone. I was REALLY struggling here with that. Unlike many others, I do like Jar Jar Binks, but besides that this movie is not it. 2.5/5 stars.

 

 

Film 5: Episode II-Attack of the Clones (2002)

There are some that actually find this movie to be just as bad or worse than its predecessor, but I definitely enjoyed Attack of the Clones. This is the first film to have CGI Yoda and Samuel L Jackson, both who I enjoyed. In addition, showcases Ewan McGregor more than the first and showcases Hayden Christensen and Natalie Portman in the main roles. I just simply think that this film has good chemistry between Anakin and Pádme in addition to a more interesting plot. Perhaps not a huge improvement, but an improvement for sure. 3/5 stars.

 

Film 6: Episode III-Revenge of the Sith (2005)

Of all of the prequel trilogy movies, I found the final to be the best. This film finds Anakin in a conflicting state, trying to decide to go down a good or bad path. The complexity of the film adds depth and really strengthens the plot in an intriguing way. I think its events fit very well to go into the original trilogy with the next 3 chronological stories. This one has many redeeming qualities to make the prequel movies not seem like such a renowned waste  after all. 3.5/5 stars.

 

 

Film 7: Episode VII-The Force Awakens (2015)

From the opening credits, this film had a lot of pressure but I thoroughly enjoyed its execution. This film starts with Rey, a young scavenger woman on a dessert planet. through circumstances, she eventually finds herself fighting for the Resistance with many old faces making an appearance along the way. I really enjoy the originality that the new characters brought into the franchise and the heavy expansion of the Star Wars universe. Technology had greatly progressed when this film was made which added to the world building. I don’t know why exactly, but this film had a sort of optimism about the future of “the galaxy” which I really enjoy. It’s a good “everyone will enjoy” film. 4/5 stars.

 

Film 8: Episode VIII-The Last Jedi (2017)

I am in love with this film, it is just so well done. The Last Jedi has so many things going on yet not at the same time which for some reason gives this film a very comforting, inviting feeling. The pacing is excellent, the plot unfolds beautifully, and there are so many crucial past moments that connect within this film in such a smart way; it makes me so happy. Leia and Luke work so wonderfully with the newer characters to create a beautiful chemistry. Plus, one of my favorite actresses, Laura Dern, is in this film and plays such an interesting character which I adore. I honestly do not have one bad thing to say about this film, it is practically perfect. Plus. it being Carrie Fischer’s last film is just heartbreaking, I honestly wish the series would have just ended here. 4.5/5 stars.

 

Film 9: Episode IX-The Rise of Skywalker (2019)

I can’t really even describe the disgusting juxtaposition between these two films. Yes, this film has some admirable parts and very action scenes, among other things, but it almost killed everything built in the 8th film and just went in a new direction. I know that the 8th film had a different director and this film has the same as the 7th, but ugh it just annoys me how much potential it had to then just drop the ball. Yes, Rey has a more wholesome ending and some loose ends are taken care of but at the same time so many more are created. Even the name is sort of silly and really encompasses the unnecessary additions that this film brought to the Star Wars universe. So many extra characters added just to move along the story-just bad. 3/5 stars.

 

Film 10: Solo: A Star Wars Story (2018)

I didn’t love this additional Star Wars story but that could rely on my feeling towards Han Solo in general. I didn’t love the guy who played Han Solo, but I did really enjoy Lando played by Donald Glover and Qi’ra played by Emilia Clarke. This film also has Woody Harrelson who I simply do not like as an actor. The plot was sort of fun, but besides that I didn’t love this one. 3/5 stars (1 star solely for Emilia Clarke).

 

Film 11: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016)

This film really sets up the Resistance and I believe is set between the Prequel and the Original Trilogies. I enjoyed this film quite a lot as it sets up a whole new set of characters and connects many dots from the main Star Wars movies. Felicity Jones and Diego Luna each give great performances along with the ensemble cast. 3.5/5

 

Everything said, this was quite a fun movie-watching experience that I thoroughly enjoyed. If you find yourself with hours upon end in your room, maybe give these films a try!

 

References

  • Star Wars Episode IV-A New Hope, George Lucas, LucasFilm, 1977
  • Star Wars Episode V-The Empire Strikes Back, George Lucas, LucasFilm, 1980
  • Star Wars Episode VI-Return of the Jedi, George Lucas, LucasFilm, 1983
  • Star Wars Episode I-The Phantom Menace, George Lucas, LucasFilm, 1999
  • Star Wars Episode II-Attack of the Clones, George Lucas, LucasFilm, 2002
  • Star Wars Episode III- Revenge of the Sith, George Lucas, LucasFilm, 2005
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens,  JJ Abrams, LucasFilm/Disney, 2015
  • Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Gereth Edwards, LucasFilm/Disney, 2016
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Rian Johnson, LucasFilm/Disney, 2017
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story, Ron Howard, LucasFilm/Disney, 2018
  • Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, JJ Abrams, LucasFilm/Disney, 2019

The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly of ChatGPT

I Asked Chat GPT For 3 Unique Side Hustle Ideas | by Tica Darius | Jan, 2023 | DataDrivenInvestorThe internet went crazy recently when a new AI program named ChatGPT was launched. This revolutionary program uses AI to answer questions that users may have. While this technological chat idea has existed since Google’s creation, Chat GPT is able to answer questions more accurately and with more detail. For example, a science teacher could ask the program “Can you write a lesson plan on the process of photosynthesis” and the chat would quickly reply with a detailed lesson plan. Sounds great, right? Sure. But, in many integral fields this program opened a Pandora’s box of possible issues that could ensue. From the good, to the bad, to the ugly; this technology advancement has put society in a conflicting spiral.

The Good: 

Interestingly enough, when it came time to figure out my Civics Issue Blog, I came across a very interesting TikTok video by user “gibsonishere” about teachers using ChatGPT for good reasons. A person would first be worried about academic integrity and cheating when thinking about this new technology, but this teacher gave a new perspective. She considers it a tool to help students write better and more efficiently. To prove her point, she uses ChatGPT to help write a letter to her school board, asking for their approval for the use of this program. This TikTok user argues to her board that technology is ever evolving and it should be taken advantage of, rather than shoed away, avoiding the inevitable of its progression. Her argument definitely gives a unique perspective to this highly contentious issue.

The argument that ChatGPT should be used as a tool is also being stressed by those in the business world. As businesses grow and their customer bases expand, there becomes a need for customer service. Weetechsolution.com argues that this system will greatly improve customer service technology in order to help the business recovery of companies. Due to ChatGPT’s intelligence, it has capabilities to be a much greater tool to customer service representative and online internal customer service technology, which would help both companies and their customers. 

In a more general sense, this ChatGPT also has the potential to increase productivity in companies and reduce expenses. Ideally, companies will be able to use this technology to provide quicker and better service to their clients while also saving labor cost. This may not always be seen as a good thing, but its potential to improve the function of many customers cannot be overlooked. The capability of this system has so much potential and its use as a tool for so many people shows that this daunting AI technology can be used for good.

The Bad:

Of course with the bad of ChatGPT, the first thing that must be negatively mentioned is the questions surrounding plagiarism, cheating, and academic integrity. As soon as this program came to light, those in the academic field had genuine questions about its impact on the learning of kids. Many wondered if the program would give kids an incentive to cheat, be lazy, and not put genuine effort into their assignments and exams. At the collegiate level, there have already been numerous reported instances of ChatGPT being used to write papers or complete assignments (Agomuoh). This genuine concern has been asked before as technology as progressed, but ChatGPT really is a whole new ball game. Luckily, plagiarism checkers used by teachers and professors have already started to add a “possibly AI-generated” red flag to their systems in order to tackle this new academic challenge.

Another concern with ChatGPT is its bias. While implicit bias is not new in the technology sector, ChatGPT had one very public, concerning interaction with a user. Steven Piantosdi, a Twitter user, asked ChatGPT many questions dealing with race, gender, and intelligence. He got concerning results, with the program stating that white males are the best scientists and black mens’ lives should not be saved if needed, among other things. This interaction blew up and went beyond Twitter, highlighting its issues. This racist and sexist bias was not hard to find and was quite apparent in simple questions. It really shows the danger of the program when used by adults, let alone children.

 

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Akin to bias, ChatGPT also has many issues when it comes to accuracy. This AI program is obviously very advanced and complicated, so this hiccup is expected but cannot be ignored. While it has a vast amount of knowledge through its system, there are many subjects that ChatGPT simply cannot give an answer to. Digitaltrends author Fiona Agomouh writes “When I used the chatbot to explore my area of interest, tarot, and astrology, I was easily able to identify errors within responses and state that there was incorrect information.” In addition, CNET seemingly uses this technology and readers have found “glaring inaccuracies” in many of their articles. As I mentioned in an earlier part of this piece, ChatGPT really excels as a tool, rather than a totally truthful answer machine.

The Ugly: 

Perhaps non-surprisingly, ChatGPT has had many capacity issues with its launch. It is not an open to the public service (like Google) necessarily with users having to create an account to use the program. In addition, users often encounter an error message stating that ChatGPT is at capacity, showing the limits to this very advanced program. While this is not uncommon with new technology, it perhaps alludes to a realization that this technology is not as much of a threat as originally thought.

I also cannot finish this blog without stating the very obvious and ugly concern with ChatGPT which is that technology is overtaking our lives. It is really so interesting to think how exponentially quickly we went from the creation of the computer to Google to ChatGPT and like systems. In movies, media, and other outlets we have seen what a threat technology can be when used incorrectly and this new AI system really emphasizes that point. Who knows where ChatGPT will take us, but one thing is sure: technological progression will be a civic issue for years to come.

 

References:

  • Agomuoh, Fionna. “The 6 Biggest Problems with CHATGPT Right Now.” Digital Trends, Digital Trends, 27 Jan. 2023, https://www.digitaltrends.com/computing/the-6-biggest-problems-with-chatgpt-right-now/.
  • Gibson [@gibsonishere]”It’s actually very cool…” TikTok, January 14, 2023, https://www.tiktok.com/@gibsonishere/video/7188674636165598510?_r=1&_t=8ZUzsEpiLeN
  • Solution, WeeTech. “What Is CHATGPT and the Benefits of Using Chatgpt.” WeeTech Solution Pvt Ltd, https://www.weetechsolution.com/blog/what-is-chat-gpt-and-the-advantages-of-using-chat-gpt.
  • Steven T Piantadosi [@spiantado] “Yes, ChatGPT is amazing and impressive. No, @OpenAI has not come close to addressing the problem of bias. Filters appear to be bypassed with simple tricks, and superficially masked.” Twitter, December 4, 2022